ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Beverton–Holt model

Have you ever heard of a fish population? Maybe you've gone fishing with your family and noticed that there weren't as many fish in the water as there used to be. Scientists who study fish populations use something called the Beverton-Holt model to predict how many fish there will be in the future.

Think of a fish population like a group of friends playing a game of tag. When there are only a few friends playing, the game is very easy and everyone gets tagged quickly. But when more friends join in, the game gets harder and it takes longer for everyone to get tagged. The same thing happens with fish populations – when there are only a few fish in the water, they can reproduce quickly and make lots of baby fish. But when there are a lot of fish, it's harder for them to find food and space to grow, so the population doesn't grow as quickly.

The Beverton-Holt model helps scientists figure out how many fish there will be in the future by looking at things like how fast they grow, how many of them are able to reproduce, and how many fish are caught by fishermen. It's like a big math equation that takes all of those factors into account to predict how many fish there will be in the future. This is really important because it helps us make sure that there will always be enough fish for people to eat and for the ocean ecosystem to stay healthy.