ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Malmquist bias

Have you ever played a game of comparing two things and finding out which one is better? Like, which pizza is cheesier or which ice cream is yummier? In the same way, researchers also compare things to find out which one is better. They use a special tool called Malmquist Bias to measure if one thing is becoming better or not.

The Malmquist Bias tool has two parts - one is called "frontier" and the other is called "distance." The frontier is the best possible way that something can be done. It's like the best way to make pizza is to use more cheese and put it in the oven for just the right amount of time. The distance is the actual way that something is being done. It's like the actual way a pizza shop makes their pizza.

Now, researchers use Malmquist Bias to measure how much the actual way is like the frontier. If the actual way is much like the frontier, then it means that the thing is becoming better. For example, if a pizza shop is using a lot of cheese and baking their pizza just right, then they are becoming better compared to other pizza shops.

However, there is a problem with Malmquist Bias. Sometimes, a thing may seem to be getting better because of chance or because researchers are not measuring the actual thing properly. This is called Malmquist Bias. It's like saying that a pizza shop is becoming better just because they got lucky and baked their pizza right one time, even though they usually make their pizza in a bad way.

So, researchers need to be very careful when using Malmquist Bias to measure if something is becoming better or not. They need to make sure that they are measuring the actual thing properly and that they are not just seeing a lucky coincidence.
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