ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Multiplier uncertainty

Multiplier uncertainty is when people don't know what the effect of a certain action is going to be. For example, when the government decides to give a bunch of money to people, it has an effect on the economy, but it's not always easy to know exactly how much it'll change things. That's the multiplier uncertainty—we don't know exactly what will happen, so it's harder to predict the effect of an action.