OK, imagine you have some money and you want to invest it in a bunch of different places, like stocks, bonds, and stuff like that. But you're not sure exactly how much to put in each thing, because you don't know which ones are going to do well and which ones will do badly.
The black-litterman model is a way to help you figure that out. It's like a map that helps you navigate through all the different investment options and pick the ones that are most likely to make you money in the long run.
Here's how it works:
First, you look at all the different investment options and try to figure out how much risk there is for each one. Some are safer than others, so you might not want to put too much money in the riskier ones.
Then you think about how much money you want to make overall. Maybe you want to make a lot of money, or maybe you're OK with just making a little bit. The black-litterman model helps you figure out how much money you need to put into each investment option to meet your overall goal.
But there's one more thing that the black-litterman model does that's really cool. It takes into account what other people are doing with their money. That's important because if a lot of people are investing in something, it's probably a good thing to invest in too.
So the black-litterman model looks at what other investors are doing and uses that information to help you make better investment decisions. It's like having a secret codebook that helps you understand what everyone else is thinking so you can make the best choices for your own money.