ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Confidence distribution

Confidence distribution is when you think about how sure you are about something. It could be something like a guess you make, or a number you measure, or even an opinion you have. To figure out your confidence distribution, you rate your confidence on a scale from 0 to 10, where 0 is not sure and 10 is very sure. For example, if you are guessing what a friend will order for dessert and you think it will be chocolate cake, you might give yourself a confidence level of 7. If you think it will be something else, you might give yourself a lower confidence level like a 4. The confidence distribution shows how sure you are about your guess.
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