ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Fano's inequality

Okay, so let's say you have a big jar full of candies, but you don't know exactly how many candies are in the jar. You want to guess, so you start asking questions to your friend who knows the answer. You can only ask yes or no questions, like "Is there more than 50 candies in the jar?" or "Is the number of candies odd?"

Fano's inequality is a way to figure out how well you're doing at guessing the number of candies in the jar. It tells us that there is a limit to how well you can do at guessing, no matter how many questions you ask.

Now, imagine you divide the jar into two smaller jars. One of the smaller jars has more candies than the other. If you knew which jar had more candies, you could ask a question like "Is the number of candies in the big jar greater than half the total number of candies?" and you could quickly narrow down the range of possible answers.

But if you don't know which jar has more candies, you're stuck. You have to ask a lot more questions to get a good guess. Fano's inequality tells us that the more questions you ask, the closer you'll get to the real number of candies, but there will always be some uncertainty left over.

So, to sum it up, Fano's inequality tells us that when we're trying to guess something, like the number of candies in a jar, there will always be some uncertainty left over no matter how many questions we ask. We can try to get as close as possible to the truth, but we can never know it for sure.