ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Hidden Bernoulli model

Okay kiddo, let me explain what a hidden Bernoulli model is.

Imagine you have a toy box, and inside that toy box, there are different toys that are hidden from your sight. Now, let's say you want to know what toy is being taken out of that toy box by someone else without actually seeing it.

A hidden Bernoulli model is like that toy box. It's a statistical model used to predict things that are hidden or not visible, just like the toys in the toy box.

Now, let's go back to the toy box example. Suppose you have a brother or sister who's taking a toy out of the box, and you can't see what toy has been taken out. However, you may hear some noise that can give you a clue about what toy they chose from the box.

Likewise, the hidden Bernoulli model works like that. It uses observations or evidence that you have to guess or predict what is hidden from you.

For example, let's say you're predicting whether a person likes football or not. You might use specific clues such as the person's age, gender, and location to predict whether or not they're a fan of football. These predictive attributes are like the noise that you heard when your brother or sister took a toy out of the toy box.

So, a hidden Bernoulli model helps to predict something that's not visible to you by using observable clues or evidence. Don't worry, the model is not as complicated as it sounds, but it just helps to make accurate guesses based on the information we have available.