ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Pu's inequality

Pu's inequality is a mathematical concept that helps us understand how likely it is for a certain event to happen. Imagine you have a big bag of marbles, some red and some blue. You want to know how many marbles you need to take out of the bag to be sure that you have more red than blue marbles.

Pu's inequality tells us that we need to take out at least (2/3)n + 1 marbles from the bag, where n is the total number of marbles in the bag. This means that if we have 6 marbles in total, we need to take out at least 5 marbles to be sure that we have more red than blue marbles.

To understand why this is true, imagine that we take out (2/3)n marbles from the bag. We know that some of these marbles are red and some are blue, but we don't know how many of each. If we take out one more marble, we either get a red marble (which means we have more red than blue marbles), or a blue marble (which means we have the same number of red and blue marbles). But we can't get another red marble because we already took out (2/3)n marbles, which means that there are no more than (1/3)n red marbles left in the bag.

By taking out (2/3)n + 1 marbles, we are guaranteed to get at least (1/3)n + 1 red marbles, which is more than half of the total number of marbles. This is why Pu's inequality is so useful – it allows us to make sure that we have a certain outcome with a high degree of certainty, even if we don't know exactly how many of each type of marble is in the bag.