ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Statistical correlations of criminal behaviour

Okay kiddo, so you know how we use numbers and math to help us understand things, right? Well, one thing we can do is look at how certain things might be related to each other, like eating more vegetables might make you healthier, or getting more sleep might make you feel better.

Well, we can also use numbers and math to try and understand if there is a relationship between certain behaviors and criminal activity. For example, we might want to know if someone who drinks a lot of alcohol is more likely to commit a crime than someone who only drinks a little bit.

To figure this out, we can look at a lot of data, or information, about lots of different people. We can see how much alcohol they drink, if they have ever been arrested or committed a crime, and lots of other things too.

Then, we use something called statistical correlations to help us understand if there is a relationship between these things. A correlation is when two things seem related to each other, like when you see your cat and you hear it meowing, you know that the cat is making the meowing sound.

When we look at the data about people's drinking habits and criminal activity, we might see that there is a correlation between the two. This means that people who drink a lot of alcohol are more likely to commit a crime than people who don't drink as much.

But, it's important to remember that correlations don't necessarily mean that one thing causes another. So, just because we see a correlation between alcohol and criminal activity, doesn't mean that drinking alcohol actually causes someone to commit a crime. There could be other factors at play that we don't know about yet.

Overall, though, looking at statistical correlations can help us understand more about criminal behavior, and hopefully find ways to prevent people from committing crimes in the future.