ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Stochastic transitivity

Okay kiddo, let me explain what stochastic transitivity means.

Imagine you have three toys: a teddy bear, a toy car, and a puzzle. You have to choose which one you like the most. But let's say you're not really sure which one you like the most because you think each of them is equally fun. So you decide to do a little experiment to figure it out.

First, you take the teddy bear and the toy car and play with them for a while. Then you ask yourself, "Which one did I prefer more?" Let's say you liked the teddy bear a little more. Then you take the puzzle and the teddy bear and play with them for a while. Again, you ask yourself, "Which one did I prefer more?" This time you liked the puzzle a little more. Finally, you take the puzzle and the toy car and play with them for a while. You ask yourself the same question again, and you like the puzzle more than the car.

Now here's the interesting part: based on the preferences you just expressed (teddy bear > car, puzzle > teddy bear, puzzle > car), we can conclude that you also prefer the puzzle over the car. This is called transitivity - if A is preferred to B, and B is preferred to C, then A must be preferred to C.

But what if you did this experiment again tomorrow, and you liked the car more than the teddy bear? Or what if you were just in a different mood that day and liked the puzzle way more than either the car or the teddy bear? That's where "stochastic" comes in. Stochastic means that there's some randomness involved, so your preferences might not be exactly the same every time you do this experiment.

So stochastic transitivity just means that even though your preferences might be a bit random, we can still use the results of your experiments to tell which toy you like the most. Pretty neat, huh?
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