ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Tropical cyclone rainfall forecasting

Hi there!

Do you know what rain is? Rain is when water falls from the sky. Usually, rain comes from clouds up above us. Sometimes, these clouds can be really big and have strong winds blowing around in them.

Have you heard of a tropical cyclone before? A tropical cyclone is like a really big storm that happens in warm places like the ocean. Sometimes we call them hurricanes or typhoons.

When there's a tropical cyclone, it can bring a lot of rain with it. That can be dangerous for people who live in the area because it can cause floods and landslides. So, people who study the weather want to predict how much rain will fall during a tropical cyclone.

To do that, they use special computer programs that look at a lot of information about the storm like how fast it's moving and where it's headed. They also use something called a "mathematical model" which is like a pretend world that helps them figure out what might happen with the storm.

By looking at all of this information, the weather experts can make a guess at how much rain will fall and where it will fall. This helps people know if they need to prepare for a big storm or if they'll just get a little rain.

So, in short, people who study the weather use special computers and a pretend world to guess how much rain will fall during a big storm called a tropical cyclone.
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