ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Stochastic empirical loading and dilution model

Okay kiddo, do you know what loading and dilution are? Imagine you have a glass of lemonade, and you pour some sugar in it - that's loading. If you pour some water in it to make it less sweet, that's dilution.

Now, imagine we have a big pool of water, and we want to know how much pollution is in it from things like chemicals or sewage. We can't just put our lemonade glass in the pool, so scientists use something called a stochastic empirical loading and dilution model to figure it out.

The word "stochastic" means random, so instead of testing every single drop of water, scientists take a small sample and use statistics to estimate the pollution levels in the entire pool. The model takes into account things like how much pollution sources are putting into the water, how fast the water is flowing, and other things that might affect the pollution levels.

Overall, the model helps scientists better understand pollution levels in bodies of water and how they might be changing over time.