ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Empirical probability

Empirical probability is like guessing how often something will happen based on what you have seen in the past. Imagine you love playing with your toy cars and you have 10 different cars. You start counting how many times a red car comes up when you play with them. You play with the cars for a week and find that the red car comes up 5 times. This means that the empirical probability of getting a red car is 5/10 or 1/2. It's like a prediction based on what you have seen before. But remember, just because something has happened before, it doesn't mean it will happen every time. That's why it's important to keep observing and collecting data to improve your predictions.