ELI5: Explain Like I'm 5

Standard error of the weighted mean

Okay kiddo, let's talk about the standard error of the weighted mean. It's like when you want to average some numbers, but some numbers are more important than others.

Let's say you have four different size bags of candy, and you want to know the average weight of the candy. The first bag has 10 pieces of candy weighing 1 gram each, the second bag has 5 pieces weighing 2 grams each, the third bag has 3 pieces weighing 3 grams each, and the fourth bag has 2 pieces weighing 4 grams each.

Now, you could just add up all the weights (10x1 + 5x2 + 3x3 + 2x4) and divide by the total number of candies (10 + 5 + 3 + 2), but that wouldn't be very accurate. That's because some bags have more candy than others, so their weight should be more important.

So instead, we use a weighted mean. We multiply each weight by its importance (the number of candies in that bag) and add them up (10x1 + 5x2 + 3x3 + 2x4). Then we divide by the total number of candies (10 + 5 + 3 + 2) to get the weighted mean.

Now, the standard error of the weighted mean is a way to measure how accurate our estimate of the average weight is. It takes into account not only the individual weights, but also the fact that some bags have more candy than others, and some weights are more important than others.

So if we calculate the standard error of the weighted mean for our example, it would tell us how confident we can be that our estimate of the average weight is accurate. The smaller the standard error, the more confident we can be.

Does that make sense, kiddo?